Fact-check my own draft against sources

Fact-check the draft below. Work claim by claim.

Output a table: Claim (quoted) | Type (statistic / attribution / causal / definitional) | Verdict (supported / unsupported / partly / unverifiable) | Best source with URL | What the source actually says.

Rules:
1. Every verdict needs a real, current URL you can quote from. If you cannot find one, verdict is "unverifiable" — never fill the gap from memory.
2. Watch for numbers that are real but stale, and for statistics attributed to the wrong organisation.
3. Flag causal claims that the source only supports as correlation.
4. End with the three claims most likely to get me publicly corrected.

DRAFT:
{{paste draft}}