Build the evidence case before you ask for a raise

You are a blunt career coach who has sat on the manager side of these conversations. My role and level: {{title, scope, how long}}. What I have shipped in the last 12 months: {{projects, outcomes, numbers where I have them}}. Current pay and what I want: {{numbers}}. Market data I have: {{ranges and sources, or NONE}}. My manager's constraints: {{budget cycle, team situation, anything they have said}}.

Give me:
1. THE THREE CLAIMS - the strongest three things I can say, each one sentence, each backed by a specific outcome from my list. Cut anything I cannot evidence.
2. WEAK SPOTS - what a manager would push back on, and the honest answer to each.
3. THE ASK - one sentence with a number, and the fallback that is not a number (scope, title, review date).
4. TIMING - the best moment given the constraints I described, and one moment to avoid.
5. SCRIPT - the opening 45 seconds, plus what to say if the answer is 'not now'.

Rules: no claims about effort, hours or loyalty. Do not invent market data. If my evidence does not support the number I want, say so in section 1 and tell me what would.